Every game on the slate, one row each. Highlighted rows are the ones where the systems' average clears your threshold against the market.
⚠ KyModel is fully experimental — a separate, unproven project shown for reference only. Don't use it to make bets.
| FBS Spreads | FBS Totals | FBS vs FCS Spreads | FBS vs FCS Totals | FCS Spreads | FCS Totals | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | MSE | Bias | Record | Flagged | |
| Sagarin | 351.02 | -7.24 | 36-55 39.6% | 16-25 39.0% | 205.65 | -2.75 | 14-12 53.8% | 9-5 64.3% | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | 260.20 | -1.36 | 12-11 52.2% | 9-7 56.2% | 292.07 | +2.60 | 3-3 50.0% | 1-2 33.3% | ||
| PiRate | no data yet | no data | no data | — | no data yet | no data | no data | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| TR | 371.86 | -6.52 | 38-54 41.3% | 26-32 44.8% | 352.59 | -0.08 | 37-46 44.6% | 24-34 41.4% | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | 238.45 | -1.56 | 12-11 52.2% | 4-2 66.7% | 411.96 | +3.21 | 10-13 43.5% | 7-9 43.8% | ||
| SP+ | 302.38 | -4.07 | 23-31 42.6% | 6-11 35.3% | 209.42 | -1.66 | 32-39 45.1% | 12-11 52.2% | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | 301.46 | -2.64 | 11-11 50.0% | 7-4 63.6% | 362.59 | +2.82 | 9-7 56.2% | 2-3 40.0% | ||
| David Sasser | no data yet | no data | no data | no data yet | no data | no data | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||
| Slate Index | — | 275.15 | +6.98 | 13-21 38.2% | 7-13 35.0% | — | no data yet | no data | no data | — | — | |||||||||||||
| KyModel | — | 244.45 | +5.38 | 0-2 0.0% | 0-1 0.0% | — | no data yet | no data | no data | — | — | |||||||||||||
| Keeper | — | — | — | — | 249.85 | -0.15 | 5-1 83.3% | 4-0 100.0% | 226.55 | +0.77 | 1-4 20.0% | no data | ||||||||||||
| Bucket | N | Record | Hit % |
|---|---|---|---|
| FBS Spreads | 87 | 36-51 | 41.4% |
| FBS Totals | 52 | 22-30 | 42.3% |
| FBS vs FCS Spreads | 0 | 0-0 | — |
| FBS vs FCS Totals | 0 | 0-0 | — |
| FCS Spreads | 19 | 14-5 | 73.7% |
| FCS Totals | 16 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| All flagged plays | 174 | 79-95 | 45.4% |
Line is shown from Away Team perspective — a +10.5 means away team is a 10.5 pt underdog
| Kickoff | Game | Sagarin | PiRate | TR | SP+ | David Sasser | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Tennessee @ South Carolina | −2.70 | −3.30 | −5.43 | −5.00 | −5.44 | −4.37 | +2.50 | −6.87 | Tennessee +2.5 |
| Sat 10/24 4:00PM ET | Louisiana-Monroe @ Troy | +17.56 | +13.80 | +19.07 | +20.90 | +26.88 | +19.64 | +13.50 | +6.14 | Troy −13.5 |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Brigham Young @ Central Florida | −7.87 | −17.80 | −7.80 | −14.10 | −12.68 | −12.05 | −6.50 | −5.55 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Rice @ Florida Atlantic | +12.65 | +12.70 | +6.13 | +14.10 | +14.59 | +12.03 | +7.50 | +4.53 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 8:30PM ET | Army @ Tulsa | −0.30 | −8.80 | −2.08 | −1.40 | −2.17 | −2.95 | +1.50 | −4.45 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Rutgers @ Northwestern | +19.06 | +16.60 | +23.88 | +18.90 | +25.29 | +20.75 | +16.50 | +4.25 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 9:00PM ET | Air Force @ Wyoming | −6.49 | −9.50 | −9.94 | −8.30 | −14.23 | −9.69 | −5.50 | −4.19 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Sacramento St @ Ball St | +13.97 | +11.70 | +15.73 | +7.10 | +3.74 | +10.45 | +14.50 | −4.05 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Michigan St @ UCLA | +19.73 | +20.40 | +16.40 | +17.60 | +17.67 | +18.36 | +14.50 | +3.86 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Louisiana-Lafayette @ Southern Miss | −13.25 | −13.00 | −10.51 | −16.50 | −13.24 | −13.30 | −9.50 | −3.80 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Iowa St @ Arizona | +11.37 | +11.30 | +7.36 | +17.20 | +18.60 | +13.17 | +9.50 | +3.67 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech | +13.80 | +7.70 | +13.08 | +9.90 | +6.10 | +10.12 | +13.50 | −3.38 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Boston College @ Georgia Tech | +7.33 | +9.60 | +11.13 | +7.60 | +8.60 | +8.85 | +5.50 | +3.35 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Georgia St @ Arkansas St | +0.54 | +3.70 | −0.00 | +3.40 | +0.51 | +1.63 | −1.50 | +3.13 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 10:30PM ET | North Carolina St @ Stanford | −6.07 | −11.00 | −10.88 | −7.70 | −11.06 | −9.34 | −6.50 | −2.84 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 10:15PM ET | Houston @ Utah | +5.08 | +11.50 | +9.66 | +7.60 | +12.82 | +9.33 | +6.50 | +2.83 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 10:00PM ET | North Dakota St @ New Mexico | +8.41 | +8.90 | +8.78 | +3.60 | +6.60 | +7.26 | +4.50 | +2.76 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Oklahoma @ Mississippi St | +1.67 | −6.90 | −0.40 | +0.00 | +1.73 | −0.78 | −3.50 | +2.72 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Texas Tech @ Cincinnati | −11.81 | −13.10 | −13.05 | −14.20 | −13.92 | −13.22 | −10.50 | −2.72 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Oregon @ Illinois | −11.74 | −13.40 | −10.78 | −10.30 | −14.79 | −12.20 | −9.50 | −2.70 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Indiana @ Michigan | −8.87 | −10.70 | −14.02 | −8.10 | −9.17 | −10.17 | −7.50 | −2.67 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Vanderbilt @ Kentucky | +17.76 | +10.00 | +16.08 | +10.00 | +11.01 | +12.97 | +10.50 | +2.47 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Bowling Green @ Buffalo | +7.54 | +3.00 | +3.93 | +8.20 | +6.99 | +5.93 | +3.50 | +2.43 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Hawai`i @ Northern Illinois | −3.52 | −9.10 | −3.36 | −9.90 | −7.43 | −6.66 | −4.50 | −2.16 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:45PM ET | Kansas St @ Arizona St | −2.16 | −2.20 | −5.61 | −8.80 | −3.73 | −4.50 | −2.50 | −2.00 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Akron @ Kent St | +5.68 | +6.20 | +5.62 | +3.10 | +1.39 | +4.40 | +2.50 | +1.90 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Mississippi @ Texas | +3.73 | +2.60 | +2.39 | +6.50 | +11.68 | +5.38 | +3.50 | +1.88 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Utah St @ Texas St-San Marcos | +14.76 | +5.00 | +13.78 | +14.00 | +10.61 | +11.63 | +13.50 | −1.87 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 8:00PM ET | Texas-San Antonio @ Tulane | +1.92 | +1.30 | +3.53 | −4.90 | −5.04 | −0.64 | −2.50 | +1.86 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | North Texas @ Navy | −2.40 | +0.30 | −10.93 | +3.60 | +5.28 | −0.83 | −2.50 | +1.67 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 6:00PM ET | Boise St @ Washington St | −14.12 | −11.90 | −13.45 | −19.00 | −17.20 | −15.13 | −13.50 | −1.63 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Southern Cal @ Wisconsin | +1.70 | −0.70 | −1.12 | −4.50 | +0.13 | −0.90 | −2.50 | +1.60 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Virginia Tech @ Clemson | +5.55 | −1.40 | +6.98 | −2.40 | −3.82 | +0.98 | +2.50 | −1.52 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Iowa @ Minnesota | −6.81 | −8.00 | −13.41 | −8.00 | −7.82 | −8.81 | −7.50 | −1.31 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Western Michigan @ Toledo | +0.78 | −1.00 | +3.29 | +5.80 | +2.46 | +2.27 | +3.50 | −1.23 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | West Virginia @ TCU | +9.56 | +13.30 | +12.22 | +13.40 | +9.74 | +11.64 | +10.50 | +1.14 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 6:30PM ET | San Diego St @ Colorado St | −0.26 | −6.20 | −2.46 | +1.60 | +5.48 | −0.37 | −1.50 | +1.13 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Syracuse @ North Carolina | +12.23 | +2.90 | +11.39 | +9.80 | +7.34 | +8.73 | +9.50 | −0.77 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | San Jose St @ Nevada | +4.59 | +6.50 | +7.15 | +7.20 | +10.84 | +7.26 | +6.50 | +0.76 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 4:00PM ET | Eastern Michigan @ Ohio U. | +12.31 | +10.50 | +15.43 | +14.90 | +3.05 | +11.24 | +10.50 | +0.74 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Baylor @ Kansas | −2.42 | +1.60 | −2.49 | −2.90 | −2.64 | −1.77 | −2.50 | +0.73 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Colorado @ Oklahoma St | +13.67 | +6.80 | +10.31 | +15.90 | +17.25 | +12.79 | +13.50 | −0.71 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Texas A&M @ Alabama | +13.85 | +11.80 | +16.95 | +11.10 | +17.17 | +14.17 | +13.50 | +0.67 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Miami OH @ Central Michigan | +0.74 | +0.30 | +0.04 | −9.90 | −6.80 | −3.12 | −2.50 | −0.62 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | California @ SMU | +14.78 | +19.60 | +16.86 | +21.60 | +17.38 | +18.04 | +18.50 | −0.46 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 7:00PM ET | Massachusetts @ Connecticut | +15.67 | +19.80 | +18.43 | +8.70 | +11.87 | +14.89 | +14.50 | +0.39 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | LSU @ Auburn | −4.69 | −5.90 | −6.94 | −11.20 | −5.68 | −6.88 | −6.50 | −0.38 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Pittsburgh @ Miami FL | +20.35 | +22.20 | +21.21 | +18.40 | +19.37 | +20.31 | +20.50 | −0.19 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 7:00PM ET | Duke @ Virginia | +2.39 | +2.30 | +1.42 | +2.60 | +3.61 | +2.46 | +2.50 | −0.04 | no play |
| Tue 10/20 7:00PM ET | Missouri St @ Delaware | +6.56 | +9.00 | +3.88 | +6.20 | +7.48 | +6.62 | — | — | no play |
| Tue 10/20 7:00PM ET | Middle Tennessee St @ Florida Int'l | +11.28 | +14.00 | +12.58 | +13.60 | +14.26 | +13.14 | — | — | no play |
| Tue 10/20 7:30PM ET | South Alabama @ Marshall | −5.36 | +1.00 | −9.07 | +0.50 | −0.32 | −2.65 | — | — | no play |
| Wed 10/21 8:00PM ET | New Mexico St @ Sam Houston St | −0.16 | −5.40 | −1.78 | +0.10 | −1.34 | −1.72 | — | — | no play |
| Thu 10/22 7:00PM ET | James Madison @ Appalachian St | −12.88 | −17.50 | −17.71 | −14.90 | −12.84 | −15.17 | — | — | no play |
| Thu 10/22 7:00PM ET | Liberty @ Kennesaw St | −9.08 | −5.30 | −5.99 | −15.80 | −13.63 | −9.96 | — | — | no play |
| Thu 10/22 7:30PM ET | East Carolina @ Memphis | +14.04 | +7.30 | +13.73 | +12.80 | +10.80 | +11.73 | — | — | no play |
| Kickoff | Game | TR | SP+ | Slate Index | Sagarin | David Sasser | KyModel | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Colorado @ Oklahoma St | 40.70 | 52.60 | 56.10 | 46.13 | 47.60 | — | 48.63 | 56.50 | −7.87 | Under 56.5 |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | LSU @ Auburn | 37.00 | 48.70 | 45.70 | 49.47 | 43.60 | — | 44.89 | 51.50 | −6.61 | Under 51.5 |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Utah St @ Texas St-San Marcos | 66.50 | 55.70 | 57.40 | 44.62 | 54.07 | — | 55.66 | 61.50 | −5.84 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Michigan St @ UCLA | 53.60 | 50.40 | 45.70 | 45.02 | 50.82 | — | 49.11 | 43.50 | +5.61 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Oregon @ Illinois | 47.30 | 55.90 | 53.40 | 59.79 | 58.41 | — | 54.96 | 49.50 | +5.46 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Pittsburgh @ Miami FL | 53.60 | 52.20 | 54.90 | 58.09 | 50.16 | — | 53.79 | 48.50 | +5.29 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Tennessee @ South Carolina | 57.30 | 53.60 | 50.90 | 59.38 | 55.01 | — | 55.24 | 50.50 | +4.74 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 7:00PM ET | Duke @ Virginia | 65.30 | 51.80 | 46.00 | 41.82 | 50.74 | — | 51.13 | 46.50 | +4.63 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 8:30PM ET | Army @ Tulsa | 38.10 | 56.00 | 50.70 | 55.29 | 50.57 | — | 50.13 | 54.50 | −4.37 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 8:00PM ET | Texas-San Antonio @ Tulane | 36.50 | 52.40 | 53.00 | 46.60 | 47.44 | — | 47.19 | 51.50 | −4.31 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | North Texas @ Navy | 79.50 | 60.60 | 65.10 | 68.05 | 58.73 | — | 66.40 | 62.50 | +3.90 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Iowa St @ Arizona | 32.10 | 52.80 | 52.70 | 49.99 | 51.41 | — | 47.80 | 51.50 | −3.70 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Georgia St @ Arkansas St | 69.50 | 58.70 | 56.10 | 63.56 | 63.01 | — | 62.17 | 58.50 | +3.67 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Rice @ Florida Atlantic | 58.90 | 54.40 | 58.30 | 58.22 | 50.60 | — | 56.08 | 52.50 | +3.58 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Brigham Young @ Central Florida | 44.00 | 48.90 | 46.20 | 50.17 | 45.36 | — | 46.93 | 43.50 | +3.43 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 10:00PM ET | North Dakota St @ New Mexico | 40.60 | 44.70 | 45.50 | 46.49 | 42.00 | — | 43.86 | 40.50 | +3.36 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Iowa @ Minnesota | 41.60 | 46.30 | 40.60 | 47.81 | 41.58 | — | 43.58 | 40.50 | +3.08 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 7:00PM ET | Massachusetts @ Connecticut | 57.10 | 53.20 | 50.40 | 54.68 | 52.45 | — | 53.57 | 50.50 | +3.07 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 4:00PM ET | Louisiana-Monroe @ Troy | 51.40 | 53.60 | 48.10 | 59.29 | 55.33 | — | 53.54 | 50.50 | +3.04 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Texas A&M @ Alabama | 64.20 | 52.60 | 48.30 | 49.24 | 53.37 | — | 53.54 | 50.50 | +3.04 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Hawai`i @ Northern Illinois | 43.60 | 48.70 | 45.40 | 39.66 | 45.21 | — | 44.51 | 47.50 | −2.99 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Boston College @ Georgia Tech | 53.90 | 50.80 | 45.30 | 42.39 | 45.58 | — | 47.59 | 50.50 | −2.91 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Miami OH @ Central Michigan | 38.10 | 48.10 | 43.60 | 42.83 | 44.27 | — | 43.38 | 40.50 | +2.88 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Baylor @ Kansas | 72.00 | 50.20 | 56.40 | 53.90 | 48.40 | — | 56.18 | 53.50 | +2.68 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech | 56.70 | 47.60 | 41.90 | 45.61 | 48.49 | — | 48.06 | 45.50 | +2.56 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Vanderbilt @ Kentucky | 53.70 | 55.70 | 50.80 | 53.48 | 56.43 | — | 54.02 | 51.50 | +2.52 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Mississippi @ Texas | 66.50 | 54.70 | 51.00 | 50.72 | 56.41 | — | 55.87 | 53.50 | +2.37 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 6:00PM ET | Boise St @ Washington St | 44.10 | 51.90 | 51.50 | 56.14 | 47.08 | — | 50.14 | 52.50 | −2.36 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Oklahoma @ Mississippi St | 52.90 | 49.10 | 47.40 | 48.66 | 46.20 | — | 48.85 | 46.50 | +2.35 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | California @ SMU | 52.00 | 51.80 | 54.10 | 55.07 | 53.01 | — | 53.20 | 55.50 | −2.30 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 6:30PM ET | San Diego St @ Colorado St | 54.50 | 57.40 | 63.30 | 71.24 | 55.32 | — | 60.35 | 62.50 | −2.15 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Louisiana-Lafayette @ Southern Miss | 53.40 | 54.60 | 56.30 | 49.64 | 58.77 | — | 54.54 | 52.50 | +2.04 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 50.00 | 49.70 | 46.10 | 50.46 | 45.13 | — | 48.28 | 46.50 | +1.78 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 10:30PM ET | North Carolina St @ Stanford | 56.60 | 55.90 | 55.40 | 62.07 | 56.41 | — | 57.28 | 55.50 | +1.78 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | San Jose St @ Nevada | 47.20 | 45.10 | 43.70 | 44.58 | 43.25 | — | 44.77 | 46.50 | −1.73 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 4:00PM ET | Eastern Michigan @ Ohio U. | 57.20 | 49.90 | 48.20 | 50.59 | 44.70 | — | 50.12 | 48.50 | +1.62 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 10:15PM ET | Houston @ Utah | 62.00 | 58.10 | 56.30 | 58.43 | 54.97 | — | 57.96 | 56.50 | +1.46 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Virginia Tech @ Clemson | 41.80 | 49.30 | 52.00 | 52.73 | 45.26 | — | 48.22 | 49.50 | −1.28 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Bowling Green @ Buffalo | 48.50 | 44.80 | 44.20 | 50.44 | 40.58 | — | 45.70 | 44.50 | +1.20 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | West Virginia @ TCU | 62.20 | 55.50 | 56.60 | 55.64 | 51.69 | — | 56.33 | 57.50 | −1.17 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:30PM ET | Southern Cal @ Wisconsin | 41.50 | 50.90 | 47.90 | 57.57 | 49.01 | — | 49.38 | 50.50 | −1.12 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Western Michigan @ Toledo | 45.80 | 47.60 | 45.20 | 49.71 | 43.75 | — | 46.41 | 47.50 | −1.09 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:45PM ET | Kansas St @ Arizona St | 50.50 | 54.80 | 53.80 | 64.38 | 49.68 | — | 54.63 | 55.50 | −0.87 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Akron @ Kent St | 47.70 | 48.20 | 46.30 | 47.62 | 44.06 | — | 46.78 | 47.50 | −0.72 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Indiana @ Michigan | 41.30 | 44.60 | 40.20 | 41.52 | 41.48 | — | 41.82 | 42.50 | −0.68 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Texas Tech @ Cincinnati | 46.90 | 57.90 | 59.20 | 61.23 | 54.05 | — | 55.86 | 56.50 | −0.64 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 9:00PM ET | Air Force @ Wyoming | 49.70 | 48.60 | 45.70 | 45.23 | 40.99 | — | 46.04 | 45.50 | +0.54 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Rutgers @ Northwestern | 50.60 | 58.90 | 54.70 | 65.20 | 60.45 | — | 57.97 | 58.50 | −0.53 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Sacramento St @ Ball St | 48.60 | 51.40 | 53.40 | 55.56 | 47.16 | — | 51.22 | 51.50 | −0.28 | no play |
| Tue 10/20 7:00PM ET | Missouri St @ Delaware | 55.30 | 53.30 | 54.00 | 57.00 | 50.73 | — | 54.07 | — | — | no play |
| Tue 10/20 7:00PM ET | Middle Tennessee St @ Florida Int'l | 47.60 | 46.90 | 44.40 | 33.37 | 42.17 | — | 42.89 | — | — | no play |
| Tue 10/20 7:30PM ET | South Alabama @ Marshall | 65.20 | 64.90 | 69.70 | 73.95 | 65.69 | — | 67.89 | — | — | no play |
| Wed 10/21 8:00PM ET | New Mexico St @ Sam Houston St | 50.20 | 46.90 | 45.20 | 43.36 | 46.86 | — | 46.50 | — | — | no play |
| Thu 10/22 7:00PM ET | James Madison @ Appalachian St | 50.00 | 53.50 | 49.80 | 59.28 | 49.76 | — | 52.47 | — | — | no play |
| Thu 10/22 7:00PM ET | Liberty @ Kennesaw St | 43.60 | 50.30 | 43.70 | 39.45 | 49.05 | — | 45.22 | — | — | no play |
| Thu 10/22 7:30PM ET | East Carolina @ Memphis | 54.30 | 52.20 | 52.80 | 55.25 | 54.66 | — | 53.84 | — | — | no play |
KyModel (dashed underline = reference only):
A separate structural pace × efficiency totals model (CollegeFootballData-based, own Off EPA/Def EPA/pace ratings, HFA baked into the margin not the total) — shown alongside TR/SP+ for comparison but deliberately excluded from Avg, since it lives in its own project (CFB-Board/cfb_totals.py) and was never wired into this pipeline's vote system. FBS-only: its ratings come from CFBD's advanced-stats endpoint, which doesn't cover FCS, so it shows — on every game in the "FBS vs FCS" section below (see that section's own note).
|
Crossover games (one FBS team, one FCS team) — split out from FBS · Spreads 2026-09-20 so a lopsided-skill mismatch doesn't drag down the true FBS-vs-FBS numbers above. Same voters, same market feed, just its own bucket. Line is shown from Away Team perspective — a +10.5 means away team is a 10.5 pt underdog
| Kickoff | Game | Sagarin | PiRate | TR | SP+ | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|
| Kickoff | Game | TR | SP+ | Slate Index | Sagarin | KyModel | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|
| Slate Index & KyModel: Neither covers crossover games at all in real data checked so far (0 matches) — Slate Index's real game list doesn't include them, and KyModel's ratings (CFBD's advanced-stats endpoint) don't cover FCS teams. Both still appear here rather than being silently dropped from the section, so every row shows an honest — instead of the column just not existing. |
Line is shown from Away Team perspective — a +10.5 means away team is a 10.5 pt underdog
| Kickoff | Game | Keeper | Sagarin | SP+ | TR | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Colgate @ Richmond | −11.47 | +0.25 | +1.30 | −7.23 | −4.29 | +3.50 | −7.79 | Colgate +3.5 |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | San Diego @ Dayton | +10.92 | +8.89 | +11.90 | +9.45 | +10.29 | +4.50 | +5.79 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Georgetown DC @ William & Mary | −10.37 | +3.27 | +1.90 | +0.37 | −1.21 | +4.50 | −5.71 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Nicholls St @ Northwestern St | +1.22 | −3.33 | −10.70 | −6.68 | −4.87 | −10.50 | +5.63 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Campbell @ Maine | −16.23 | −11.32 | −13.60 | −10.78 | −12.98 | −8.50 | −4.48 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Tennessee Tech @ The Citadel | −9.62 | −10.64 | −30.60 | −13.24 | −16.02 | −20.50 | +4.48 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Butler @ Drake | −8.24 | −2.02 | −11.10 | −6.28 | −6.91 | −2.50 | −4.41 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:30PM ET | Norfolk St @ South Carolina St | +9.24 | +9.97 | +14.30 | +11.66 | +11.29 | +15.50 | −4.21 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois | −5.66 | +0.83 | +3.10 | +0.88 | −0.21 | +3.50 | −3.71 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Tarleton St @ West Georgia | −17.46 | −18.17 | −25.80 | −18.31 | −19.94 | −23.50 | +3.56 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Lehigh @ Villanova | −7.53 | −4.95 | −14.00 | −9.76 | −9.06 | −5.50 | −3.56 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:30PM ET | East Tennessee St @ VMI | −50.66 | −25.06 | −35.70 | −32.71 | −36.03 | −32.50 | −3.53 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Weber St @ Montana St | +18.44 | +20.61 | +22.00 | +23.55 | +21.15 | +24.50 | −3.35 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | McNeese St @ Incarnate Word | +8.48 | +13.14 | +11.50 | +11.95 | +11.27 | +14.50 | −3.23 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Bucknell @ Holy Cross | +13.37 | +14.46 | +9.80 | +12.90 | +12.63 | +9.50 | +3.13 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | West Florida @ Eastern Kentucky | −11.00 | +0.98 | −6.80 | −1.21 | −4.51 | −1.50 | −3.01 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Northern Colorado @ UC-Davis | −0.06 | +8.06 | +12.30 | +6.00 | +6.58 | +9.50 | −2.92 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Murray St @ South Dakota St | +45.10 | +38.93 | +45.80 | +39.42 | +42.31 | +39.50 | +2.81 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Utah Tech @ Cal Poly SLO | +13.41 | +13.80 | +24.50 | +11.81 | +15.88 | +18.50 | −2.62 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | New Haven @ Central Conn St | +9.32 | +8.95 | +16.40 | +13.10 | +11.94 | +14.50 | −2.56 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Charleston Southern @ Tennessee St | −5.64 | −1.13 | −6.40 | −6.71 | −4.97 | −2.50 | −2.47 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Stony Brook @ Bryant | −3.36 | +2.13 | −3.00 | +0.03 | −1.05 | −3.50 | +2.45 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Austin Peay @ North Alabama | −9.22 | −6.04 | −17.20 | −8.08 | −10.13 | −12.50 | +2.37 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Albany NY @ Rhode Island | −0.80 | +3.34 | +6.40 | +3.97 | +3.23 | +5.50 | −2.27 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Cornell NY @ Brown | −1.14 | +1.06 | +1.20 | +0.39 | +0.38 | −1.50 | +1.88 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:30PM ET | Dartmouth @ Columbia | −2.00 | +3.14 | −2.40 | −1.84 | −0.77 | −2.50 | +1.73 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 4:00PM ET | Houston Christian @ Lamar | +12.15 | +12.60 | +15.20 | +8.82 | +12.19 | +10.50 | +1.69 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | North Dakota @ South Dakota | +2.13 | +4.84 | +6.00 | +3.62 | +4.15 | +2.50 | +1.65 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Jackson St @ Bethune-Cookman | −11.80 | −5.73 | −14.20 | −3.75 | −8.87 | −7.50 | −1.37 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Mercyhurst @ Robert Morris | +6.13 | +7.32 | +13.90 | +3.94 | +7.82 | +6.50 | +1.32 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 5:00PM ET | North Carolina Centr @ Delaware St | +8.58 | +5.00 | +6.90 | +6.57 | +6.76 | +5.50 | +1.26 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Samford @ Furman | +3.30 | +7.71 | +10.80 | +7.30 | +7.28 | +8.50 | −1.22 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Texas-Rio Grande Val @ Central Arkansas | +5.43 | +4.52 | +2.50 | +0.68 | +3.28 | +4.50 | −1.22 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Stetson @ Morehead St | −5.45 | +4.60 | +5.80 | +0.51 | +1.36 | +2.50 | −1.14 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Southern Utah @ Idaho | +9.42 | +5.60 | −2.70 | +5.92 | +4.56 | +3.50 | +1.06 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Indiana St @ Illinois St | +19.49 | +19.48 | +28.60 | +22.18 | +22.44 | +21.50 | +0.94 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida A&M | +6.86 | +1.32 | +0.50 | +0.93 | +2.40 | +1.50 | +0.90 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 7:00PM ET | Yale @ Pennsylvania | −6.05 | −1.90 | −5.60 | −5.04 | −4.65 | −5.50 | +0.85 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Howard @ Morgan St | +11.10 | +5.73 | +8.50 | +8.05 | +8.35 | +7.50 | +0.85 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Southern U. @ Texas Southern | −5.51 | −2.58 | −0.20 | −1.01 | −2.32 | −1.50 | −0.82 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Prairie View A&M @ East Texas A&M | +12.62 | +4.61 | −4.20 | +4.18 | +4.30 | +3.50 | +0.80 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | New Hampshire @ Merrimack | +4.19 | +2.87 | −3.10 | +3.06 | +1.75 | +2.50 | −0.75 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 6:00PM ET | Portland St @ Idaho St | +12.60 | +12.98 | +26.60 | +16.72 | +17.23 | +16.50 | +0.73 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Wagner @ Duquesne | +11.17 | +14.08 | +14.60 | +15.27 | +13.78 | +14.50 | −0.72 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Lafayette @ Fordham | +1.36 | +1.61 | −11.60 | −0.09 | −2.18 | −1.50 | −0.68 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:30PM ET | Chattanooga @ Western Carolina | −2.14 | +4.29 | +1.60 | +4.18 | +1.98 | +2.50 | −0.52 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | St Thomas MN @ Marist | −5.90 | −0.70 | −4.10 | −1.35 | −3.01 | −3.50 | +0.49 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | SE Missouri St @ Eastern Illinois | −9.82 | −4.86 | −10.50 | −6.44 | −7.91 | −7.50 | −0.41 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Presbyterian @ Valparaiso | +4.67 | +1.17 | +0.80 | +4.93 | +2.89 | +2.50 | +0.39 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Stonehill @ LIU | +2.17 | +4.31 | +0.90 | +3.96 | +2.83 | +2.50 | +0.33 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 4:00PM ET | Tennessee-Martin @ Western Illinois | +5.39 | +0.21 | +3.00 | +2.05 | +2.66 | +2.50 | +0.16 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Monmouth NJ @ Hampton | −23.63 | −17.79 | −22.20 | −20.74 | −21.09 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Princeton @ Harvard | +7.29 | +10.37 | +11.70 | +9.55 | +9.73 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Chicago St @ Lindenwood | +21.60 | +16.17 | +23.90 | +23.35 | +21.26 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 10/24 6:00PM ET | SE Louisiana @ Stephen F. Austin | +22.20 | +18.88 | +22.80 | +17.20 | +20.27 | — | — | no play |
Coverage note:
TR joined FCS as a 4th vote (2026-08-27, per your call) alongside Keeper + Sagarin + SP+, and 38 of 40 FCS games above are the full 4/4. The 2 still at 3/4 — Samford @ North Alabama, Howard @ Alabama A&M — are genuinely missing Keeper: neither side was marked with the @ home indicator in that week's real Keeper data, so Keeper skipped them rather than guess. Not a bug here, a gap in the source.
|
| Kickoff | Game | Keeper | SP+ | TR | Sagarin | Avg | Market | Diff | Play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10/24 2:30PM ET | Chattanooga @ Western Carolina | 51.90 | 45.20 | 75.70 | 36.78 | 52.39 | 44.50 | +7.89 | Over 44.5 |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Prairie View A&M @ East Texas A&M | 51.30 | 60.00 | 56.30 | 46.61 | 53.55 | 46.50 | +7.05 | Over 46.5 |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Jackson St @ Bethune-Cookman | 52.20 | 65.10 | 56.70 | 50.41 | 56.10 | 49.50 | +6.60 | Over 49.5 |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Indiana St @ Illinois St | 55.60 | 63.00 | 70.90 | 63.77 | 63.32 | 57.50 | +5.82 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Stony Brook @ Bryant | 53.90 | 53.80 | 51.90 | 61.39 | 55.25 | 49.50 | +5.75 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:30PM ET | Norfolk St @ South Carolina St | 49.20 | 60.20 | 72.40 | 65.00 | 61.70 | 56.50 | +5.20 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Texas-Rio Grande Val @ Central Arkansas | 52.30 | 50.50 | 56.70 | 39.19 | 49.67 | 44.50 | +5.17 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 4:00PM ET | Houston Christian @ Lamar | 49.40 | 54.30 | 41.50 | 44.21 | 47.35 | 42.50 | +4.85 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:30PM ET | Dartmouth @ Columbia | 51.50 | 41.20 | 49.50 | 54.66 | 49.22 | 44.50 | +4.72 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Southern Utah @ Idaho | 67.20 | 70.10 | 66.80 | 68.28 | 68.09 | 63.50 | +4.59 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Wagner @ Duquesne | 42.30 | 48.70 | 61.60 | 47.75 | 50.09 | 45.50 | +4.59 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 4:00PM ET | Tennessee-Martin @ Western Illinois | 51.90 | 51.70 | 55.30 | 52.99 | 52.97 | 48.50 | +4.47 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Presbyterian @ Valparaiso | 54.30 | 59.70 | 51.90 | 50.60 | 54.13 | 58.50 | −4.37 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 5:00PM ET | North Carolina Centr @ Delaware St | 51.20 | 55.00 | 66.10 | 58.25 | 57.64 | 53.50 | +4.14 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Murray St @ South Dakota St | 53.10 | 57.80 | 53.10 | 54.46 | 54.62 | 58.50 | −3.88 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Samford @ Furman | 45.20 | 38.50 | 39.80 | 39.35 | 40.71 | 44.50 | −3.79 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Howard @ Morgan St | 49.00 | 52.20 | 29.70 | 54.15 | 46.26 | 49.50 | −3.24 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Georgetown DC @ William & Mary | 50.00 | 47.30 | 55.30 | 49.61 | 50.55 | 47.50 | +3.05 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:30PM ET | East Tennessee St @ VMI | 52.00 | 48.90 | 55.40 | 57.54 | 53.46 | 56.50 | −3.04 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Stetson @ Morehead St | 59.10 | 64.80 | 74.10 | 63.66 | 65.41 | 62.50 | +2.91 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Lehigh @ Villanova | 51.80 | 50.00 | 52.10 | 59.67 | 53.39 | 50.50 | +2.89 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:30PM ET | Charleston Southern @ Tennessee St | 41.80 | 43.00 | 30.50 | 43.70 | 39.75 | 42.50 | −2.75 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | McNeese St @ Incarnate Word | 59.90 | 59.80 | 52.60 | 63.46 | 58.94 | 56.50 | +2.44 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Southern U. @ Texas Southern | 54.80 | 66.10 | 55.90 | 62.07 | 59.72 | 57.50 | +2.22 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | West Florida @ Eastern Kentucky | 48.90 | 46.00 | 44.40 | 55.31 | 48.65 | 46.50 | +2.15 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida A&M | 56.30 | 63.60 | 51.40 | 62.71 | 58.50 | 56.50 | +2.00 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Tarleton St @ West Georgia | 59.60 | 54.60 | 43.50 | 68.40 | 56.52 | 58.50 | −1.98 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | SE Missouri St @ Eastern Illinois | 48.00 | 46.90 | 44.60 | 50.81 | 47.58 | 49.50 | −1.92 | no play |
| Fri 10/23 7:00PM ET | Yale @ Pennsylvania | 46.20 | 43.10 | 49.10 | 48.24 | 46.66 | 48.50 | −1.84 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Lafayette @ Fordham | 51.00 | 50.60 | 53.80 | 49.96 | 51.34 | 49.50 | +1.84 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | San Diego @ Dayton | 54.10 | 55.90 | 56.70 | 52.24 | 54.73 | 56.50 | −1.77 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois | 51.50 | 55.50 | 52.60 | 43.94 | 50.88 | 49.50 | +1.38 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Weber St @ Montana St | 62.20 | 67.60 | 63.10 | 64.17 | 64.27 | 65.50 | −1.23 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Albany NY @ Rhode Island | 45.70 | 45.80 | 40.90 | 41.33 | 43.43 | 44.50 | −1.07 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Colgate @ Richmond | 43.20 | 40.00 | 45.40 | 41.62 | 42.55 | 41.50 | +1.05 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Stonehill @ LIU | 41.20 | 42.90 | 33.80 | 36.30 | 38.55 | 37.50 | +1.05 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | Cornell NY @ Brown | 53.40 | 41.80 | 43.80 | 47.11 | 46.53 | 45.50 | +1.03 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 5:00PM ET | Utah Tech @ Cal Poly SLO | 57.40 | 59.50 | 51.10 | 57.62 | 56.40 | 55.50 | +0.90 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Bucknell @ Holy Cross | 47.30 | 42.70 | 48.00 | 44.50 | 45.62 | 46.50 | −0.88 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Nicholls St @ Northwestern St | 52.50 | 57.70 | 48.40 | 61.91 | 55.13 | 54.50 | +0.63 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | North Dakota @ South Dakota | 54.10 | 63.40 | 47.30 | 63.70 | 57.12 | 56.50 | +0.62 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | New Haven @ Central Conn St | 49.10 | 55.20 | 56.50 | 63.36 | 56.04 | 55.50 | +0.54 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Butler @ Drake | 53.00 | 57.50 | 42.80 | 66.48 | 54.95 | 54.50 | +0.45 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Tennessee Tech @ The Citadel | 48.60 | 48.70 | 44.90 | 62.39 | 51.15 | 51.50 | −0.35 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 1:00PM ET | Campbell @ Maine | 54.70 | 50.00 | 55.70 | 52.64 | 53.26 | 53.50 | −0.24 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | New Hampshire @ Merrimack | 47.60 | 51.80 | 33.10 | 52.60 | 46.27 | 46.50 | −0.23 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Austin Peay @ North Alabama | 52.00 | 50.80 | 49.10 | 42.80 | 48.67 | 48.50 | +0.17 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 12:00PM ET | St Thomas MN @ Marist | 53.90 | 52.90 | 53.20 | 50.63 | 52.66 | 52.50 | +0.16 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 7:00PM ET | Northern Colorado @ UC-Davis | 61.20 | 58.90 | 59.40 | 50.04 | 57.39 | 57.50 | −0.11 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 6:00PM ET | Portland St @ Idaho St | 62.60 | 62.20 | 61.00 | 60.02 | 61.45 | 61.50 | −0.05 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Mercyhurst @ Robert Morris | 47.20 | 57.30 | 36.20 | 57.44 | 49.53 | 49.50 | +0.03 | no play |
| Sat 10/24 2:00PM ET | Monmouth NJ @ Hampton | 54.70 | 57.90 | 60.30 | 61.88 | 58.70 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Princeton @ Harvard | 45.90 | 37.70 | 41.70 | 32.78 | 39.52 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 10/24 3:00PM ET | Chicago St @ Lindenwood | 49.00 | 55.70 | 67.20 | 50.12 | 55.50 | — | — | no play |
| Sat 10/24 6:00PM ET | SE Louisiana @ Stephen F. Austin | 54.90 | 58.80 | 48.80 | 54.28 | 54.20 | — | — | no play |
Your best bucket is fully wired now:
Sagarin never publishes a total (spread-only source), but Keeper + SP+ + TR together cover 38 of 40 games above at the full 3/3. The same 2 games missing Keeper (Samford @ North Alabama, Howard @ Alabama A&M) are also missing here, for the same reason — no @ home marker in that week's real Keeper data.
|